Forecast of the time when the East Sea storm will be most active this year

Khánh Minh |

The latest storm news shows that 8-14 storms may appear around the East Sea from April to September this year.

As global weather continues to be affected by extreme climate change, the 2025 typhoon season in the Northwest Pacific - including the East Sea and the Philippine Sea - is being warned by experts to have notable developments.

According to the latest typhoon information from the 182nd Climate Outlook Forum, from April to September this year, the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) could record 8 to 14 typhoons forming or entering. This is often considered the peak of the rainy and stormy season in the region, especially from June to August.

Anh: PAGASA
From April to September 2025, the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) may record 8 to 14 typhoons, including April (0-1), May, June (1-2), July 8, and September (2-3). Photo: PAGASA

Although no storm has been officially named as of early April, meteorological experts warn that it is likely that from May onwards, the first tropical cyclones will begin to form, with an orbit that could directly affect the Philippines, the East Sea, and coastal areas of Central and Northern Vietnam.

Based on climate statistics from 1948 to 2015, typhoons tend to move from the eastern Philippines to the South China Sea, especially in June, July and August, peaking in August - when an average of 3-4 typhoons can be active at the same time in the region.

The forecast also highlights the likelihood of a La Nina returning in the second half of 2025, which could increase storm activity in the Northwest Pacific Ocean and increase the probability of strong storms directly affecting land.

Forecasting the number and trends of storms in 2025 is important information to help countries in the region, including Vietnam, proactively plan response, especially for extreme phenomena such as strong storms of level 12 or higher, widespread heavy rain, high tides and flash floods.

The 183rd Climate Forum will be held on April 23, 2025, where meteorological agencies of ASEAN countries will provide more detailed updates on storm situation, sea temperatures, and weather trends for this year's rainy season.

On April 7, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that there are currently no low pressure/storm areas in the PAR forecast area.

Du bao khong co con bao/ap thap nao trong hai tuan tu. Anh: PAGASA
No storms/low pressure are forecast for the two weeks of 7-20, April 2025. Photo: PAGASA

It is forecasted that during the week of April 7-13-2025 and the week of April 14-20, 2025, there will be no low pressure/storm near the Philippines and the East Sea.

Khánh Minh
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